Prediction of Yuliana Lizarazo vs Marcella Dessolis at W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 10-07-25

• Yuliana Lizarazo has a stronger second serve performance, winning 39.92% of points, outperforming Marcella Dessolis, who wins 29.72%.
• Why is second serve performance important? It is highly correlated with match wins, giving Lizarazo an edge here.
• In returning opponent's second serves, Lizarazo again shows superior performance with 50.53% success compared to Dessolis' 48.05%.
• While both exhibit similar first serve return stats, Dessolis slightly leads with 34.45% against Lizarazo's 34.05%.
• How do players handle pressure situations? Lizarazo saves 45.31% of breakpoints, slightly better than Dessolis' 40.82%.
• Despite evenly matched win ratios over last year, with Dessolis at 52.38% and Lizarazo at 51.72%, the former has faced tougher competition.
• Lizarazo is most successful on clay surfaces (62% win rate), while Dessolis excels on hard surfaces, also with 62% success.
• Considering the level of events played, Lizarazo engages more in Challengers/ITF tournaments, whereas Dessolis is active in Futures/Satellites/ITF.
• Who has faced tougher opponents? Dessolis' opponents have an average rank of 164.74, much higher than Lizarazo's 323.86, which speaks to the quality of competition.
• In deciding sets, Lizarazo shows better composure, winning 33% compared to Dessolis' 11%.

Editorial Prediction (October 6, 2025, UTC):

Based on second serve performance, Yuliana Lizarazo holds a distinct advantage, an element strongly linked with match success. Her capability to win points during opponents' second serves and handle breakpoints further solidifies her upper hand.

While both players have comparable overall recent match performance, Lizarazo’s ability to maintain a higher win rate under pressure and in deciding sets suggests stronger mental resilience.

Although Marcella Dessolis has competed against higher-ranked opponents, indicating tougher match scenarios, Yuliana Lizarazo's proficiency on clay, which aligns with her highest career surface win percentage, might play a crucial role in this encounter.

Overall, with stronger serving stats and mental fortitude, Yuliana Lizarazo is likely favored to emerge victorious in this upcoming match against Marcella Dessolis.